Here are a few guidelines, especially about the projection model and updates to the metric side of the house, as the NFL Combine is in full swing:
Production Trumps Athleticism
My research and study have shown that different aspects of a prospect’s production profile dwarf any athletic component in terms of predictive value for fantasy purposes.
Range of Outcomes
I did some testing with the projection model regarding big jumps in athleticism scores and disappointing marks. The result? A difference of maybe five points at most in a prospect’s overall score. More than anything, a better (or worse) physical data set will shift the comparable lists for an incoming rookie.
