Welcome to Week 9 of Making the Trade, covering the week in dynasty trades from UTH Nation. Catch the previous installment here.
Tag your trade with #UTHtrades on Twitter to join the conversation!
It’s been a few weeks since the last Making the Trade post, but with the NFL season just around the corner it’s time to check up on what UTH Nation’s been up to during the quietest stretch of the NFL offseason.
What to do with Michael Floyd?
Michael Floyd is a bit of Rorschach test now. Is he a post-hype sleeper with WR1 upside? Or is he the guy we’ve seen thus far? A 26-year-old (in November) whose career best season still saw him finish behind Brian Hartline and Harry Douglas in PPR scoring. There’s even room for interpretation about his situation. With rumors emerging this off-season that the Cardinals were shopping Floyd, does it really seem likely that they’ll pay him $7.32M in 2016 next season when they could simply cut him without a cap hit? If Floyd is released or traded to a good situation in 2016, his value will almost certainly go up regardless of what he produces this season. Then again, as I or anyone who owns Christine Michael and Davante Adams on the same team will tell you–forecasting the Free Agent market is a dangerous game.
So what should we do with Michael Floyd? Well, here’s what UTH Nation has done the last few weeks:
Gave: K.Aiken T.Williams J.Strong Got: Michael Floyd #UTHTrades #PPR
— MANDREWTHEBARBARIAN (@__mandrew__) June 17, 2015
@PatKerrane completed already. Got Floyd plus 6.01 for 2.01 and Riley Cooper. Cheers! — A. Don Davenport (@ADonDavenport) July 13, 2015
#dynastytrades #uthtrades Give Tor Smith/Mi Floyd/1.11/3.05 get J Hill. Have Gio already
— Mark Roemer (@mrroemer) June 26, 2015
@ChadParsonsNFL @Harahduh2 CJAnderson 4 MFloyd/3.08/2016 2nd(top20) #UTHtrades #UTHDynasty — Jeremy Schulz (@cannonsofloose) July 11, 2015
@ChadParsonsNFL @Harahduh2 gave randle Reuben and 16 first(mid, not mine) got: Michael Floyd #UTHtrades
— Brad Davis (@Gecko998) July 13, 2015
And here’s the Michael Floyd trades I made:
Gave Sammy Watkins & Keenan Allen for AJ Green & Michael Flyod #UTHtrades #dynastytrades
— Patrick Kerrane (@PatKerrane) June 16, 2015
Traded away Michael Floyd & Ty Montgomery for 3 2016 2nds (likely the 2.01 & 2 mids) #UTHtrades #dynastytrades — Patrick Kerrane (@PatKerrane) June 18, 2015
Overall I feel like Floyd’s value is kind of all over the place. He’s being used as a package up player in some trades, and going for first round picks in others. So is he a buy or a sell? My personal stance is that if you can get value in line with his ADP (55 overall according to DLF), he’s a sell. I’d rather have Breshad Perriman, Ameer Abdullah, or Donte Moncrief, who are all going after Floyd. (Moncrief in particular might make a nice target since you’re likely to get Moncrief + in the deal).
My reasoning is simply that Floyd is not a great bet for 2016 production. He’s going as WR36 in MFL10s at the moment, which is identical to his ADP in the ongoing 360 team Scott Fish Bowl. Floyd’s age insulation is quickly expiring and his past production is uninspiring. Unless he can far exceed his ADP or hits the jackpot through trade or release in 2016, it’s hard to see Floyd fetching a first round pick or first round talent in a year’s time.
Out on a Limb on Calvin
Gave Calvin Johnson & @Jwalk_back12 Received Kevin White #dynastytrades #fantasyfootball http://t.co/1FIdbxSeYy #uthtrades #NFL
— Jason Leonard Moomau (@JasonLMoomau) June 21, 2015
(Jwalk_back12 is John Brown)
The UTH Trade Calculator (which may seriously be the most useful dynasty tool ever created), absolutely loves this trade for Jason. I on the other hand, do not. As much as possible, I think you should always sell elite veterans in-season. Preferably early in the season when most teams are still vying for the playoffs, and preferably after your vet has reminded everyone about their 30 point weekly upside. I detailed a few months ago why I’m still a Calvin believer, but to summarize: when Calvin wasn’t playing a decoy role last season he saw 29% Market Share of Detroit’s targets and scored over 20 PPR points per game. Kevin White isn’t a bad haul for Calvin by any means, but I think a few weeks into 2015 it will be White + for Calvin, not the other way around.
Allen Robinson is Ascending
14 Team flipped Melvin Gordon straight up for ARob, how’s the deal? #UTHtrades #dynastytrades
— Jonathan Ulichney (@JUlichDPT) June 29, 2015
Allen Robinson’s startup value has actually decreased slightly since the off-season began, but from what I’ve seen, his trade value has actually increased noticeably. While ADP only requires one owner to be high on a player, the trade market really doesn’t heat up unless many owners are interested. And with Robinson being drafted as a top 25 Wide Receiver in redraft, more and more owners are starting to take interest. Robinson was a terrific prospect who showed well his rookie season and enters his age 22 season firmly entrenched as his team’s WR1. And both tape guys like Matt Harmon and metric guys like Justin Winn have identified him as a potential breakout player in 2015. Owners won’t be eager to sell, but you may still be able to pry him away for early first round value. He’s worth it.
